Eco-evolutionary dynamics create extinction avalanches in mutualistic-antagonistic networks

Evolution has given rise to the diversity of life on Earth, but it can also cause species extinctions. While major extinction events are usually associated with external drivers, in this study, we show mechanistically how evolution can trigger abrupt extinction avalanches in ecological networks without any environmental change. In particular, we investigate an eco-evolutionary simulation model of a tripartite mutualistic-antagonistic network, such as a plant-pollinator-herbivore network, with additional intraguild competition. The prevalence of self-organised extinction avalanches depends on a subtle balance of the different interaction types, where antagonism and similarity-based competition are needed for initial diversification while mutualism and trait-independent competition foster evolutionarily driven extinction events. Extinction avalanches are triggered by a mutualist evolving to interact with plants that are not subject to sufficient antagonistic control. Subsequently, the mutualist, its plant partners and their main antagonist potentially outcompete the rest of the community. Our findings point out that evolutionary murder may claim many victims simultaneously and highlight the need to take different interaction types into account to gain a comprehensive understanding of the links between evolution and biodiversity in ecological communities.