A meta-analysis of Neotropical butterflies reveals long-term signature of the Pebas wetland on Neotropical biogeography

The palaeogeographic history of the Neotropics has inspired multiple diversification models, emphasizing either the Andes or Amazonia as primary drivers of biodiversity. However, the extensive Pebas wetland system that covered western Amazonia during the Miocene has gained attention as a potential barrier to dispersal and diversification. This system may have contributed to the modern diversity imbalance between the Andes and Amazonia, known as the Gentry pattern. Most evidence for this hypothesis comes from isolated case studies and fossils. Here, we conduct a meta-analysis including 1,361 species of Neotropical butterflies to evaluate the role of the Pebas wetland on the dynamics of dispersal and diversification. We found that Andean- and Amazonian-centred clades show complementary but temporarily distinct biogeographic patterns. High Andean diversity reflects an Andean origin, with early occupancy and diversification occurring within the Andes, followed by post-Pebas dispersal into Amazonia. By contrast, Amazonian-centred clades, reflect an Amazonian origin, with an early diversification in Amazonia and subsequent post-Pebas colonization of the Andes. While several clades show little evidence of Pebas influence, our study suggests that the Pebas wetland did not uniformly restrict diversification, but rather selectively constrained dispersal between the Andes and Amazonia, preventing simultaneous diversification in both regions and thereby creating a diversity imbalance that characterizes the modern Neotropic.